3:45am

It seems quite clear to me all of a sudden. The polls weren’t that far off. Near the end there were a bunch of national polls showing the race about a 4% lead for Clinton. Nate Silver said that a systemic flaw in polling could move the results about 3% in either direction, so it could really be anywhere from a 1 to 7 point lead and that looked pretty safe. As it’s turning out, there was a systemic flaw and it was undercounting Trump voters by a little more than 2% nationwide. That’s how Hillary ended up only winning by a little under 2% in the popular vote.

It seems like everyone forgot about the electoral college. It was state polls that mattered and those are always a little slower to show a late trend. I bet Clinton’s people had some late data and it’s why she was doing rallies in Michigan and PA in the last couple of days. They probably hoped whatever they were seeing for Wisconsin was just wrong (no time to be in all three states).

Looking forward, the Democrats have a big problem because this fluky thing of winning the popular vote and losing the EC could be a persistent pattern. Dems have a huge advantage in very populous states like CA and NY and that pushes up the PV margin, while they’re actually struggling to be ahead in enough states to win the EC. All it’s going to be about next time is taking back the rust belt. I wonder how they can do it.

How about a New Clean Energy Deal? Invest heavily in Solar and Wind Technologies in the rust belt, transforming the old dying industrial heartland into manufacture of wind turbines, solar roofing, battery factories, and electric cars. Put everybody to work along with AI to do the tedious crap. That will boost productivity enough to make the work week half as long, twice as easy, and significantly higher paying with amazing health care. Convert factory farms to cultivated meatless protein factories and build a thousand or so vertical farms to keep all the food local. Where you have to import, use hyperloops, drones, and self-driving electric trucks.

For everybody else outside the rust belt, put them to work in a big way, but keep the work week short and the pay sky high. Most of us can be foremen supervising robots in large scale assembly of solar and wind plants, building true 21st century infrastructure. All jobs cheap and easy – like playing computer games and getting paid really well for it.  Future’s so bright I gotta wear shades.

As for Trump and all his evil minions… seduce them into an alternative reality fantasy dome where they get to think they’re really rich, pay no taxes, and run regulation-free corporations while they have special bigotry bots to abuse in every way their hearts desire.

Good 3:45am thoughts to play with. Should do this more.